Pengambilan Keputusan Berbasis Manajemen Resiko Era Vuca : Analisis Konseptual Dan Tantangan Bagi Sektor Pendidikan

Abstract

Risk-based decision-making has become increasingly critical in the education sector operating in the VUCA era, characterized by volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. This environment requires educational leaders to identify potential risks, assess their impacts, and formulate adaptive, effective, and sustainable decisions. This conceptual study aims to map the relationship between risk management concepts, VUCA dynamics, and decision-making processes in the education sector, while identifying implementation challenges. The study employs a literature review method, analyzing recent scientific publications related to risk management, decision-making, and educational dynamics in the VUCA context. Findings indicate that integrating risk management into educational decision-making enhances policy quality through systematic risk identification, uncertainty mapping, and planned mitigation strategies. The study confirms that risk-based approaches are not only theoretically relevant but also practically valuable in helping educational institutions respond to VUCA challenges in an adaptive, proactive, and sustainable manner. Conceptually, this study provides a framework for developing more resilient decision-making strategies in education.